Wednesday, May 20, 2020

Efficient Market Theory and Behavioural Finance Essay

The behaviour of markets and investors, the decision making in the market place and the dynamics of demand and supply in any given market cannot be determined with a hundred percent accuracy. However master minds in the past have designed various techniques and theories that help investors make a particular buying decision, or to make choices logically. These theories and techniques help today’s investors to peep into the future and make almost immaculate predictions regarding the future behaviour of the market and the ongoing trends. A lay man night view the decision making of an investor as being solely based upon speculation but in reality every move that an investor makes today in the market place is backed up by sound calculation and†¦show more content†¦So according to the Efficient Market Theory it is impossible for any investor to â€Å"beat the market† that is earn more profit or get more return than what the market is actually offering. Therefore the investor can only earn greater profits on his investment if the investment portfolio includes a high proportion of risky investments that is those with higher standard deviations and betas but with a good capability of yielding high returns as well (Stephens, C.R., 2010). On the other hand behavioural finance defines the market dynamics and movement in terms of psychology of the participants in the trading process. Behavioural finance proposes that the amount of information available in the market regarding the factors that determine the output or profitability of a particular investment actually serve to determine the movement and output of the market itself (Fama, E.F., 1998). It is believed that Efficient Market Theory is based upon some fallacies and it does not provide strong grounds of whatever that it proposes. More importantly the Efficient Market theory is perceived to be too subjective in its definition and details and because of this it is close to impossible to accommodate this theory into a meaningful and explicit financial model that can actually assist investors in making the investment decisions (Andresso-O’Callaghan, B., 2007). The basis of Efficient Market theory is considered to have a gap in theory and practice thatShow MoreRelatedKey Concepts And Explanations Of The Efficient Market Hypothesis915 Words   |  4 PagesConcepts and Explanations of the Efficient Market Hypothesis Overview Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is a theory that states that it is impossible to beat the market due to the following reasons: †¢ Assumption that markets are efficient †¢ Investors make rational decisions †¢ Market participants are sophisticated †¢ Investors act quickly on information as it becomes available Since prices reflect all information there are no bargain prices. In efficient markets, prices become unpredictable andRead MoreTheories concerning finance have developed throughout the years evolving from the efficient market800 Words   |  4 PagesTheories concerning finance have developed throughout the years evolving from the efficient market theory to behavioural finance. The efficient market theory had a large following in the 1970s although in the 1980s this theory became problematic as the theory didn’t explain the volatility of the actual stock market. Shiller argued that efficient market model needed to be grounded more in reality. Behavioural finance was a solution that many looked to and is becoming a favourable model, as it looksRead MoreEfficient Market Hypothesis Vs Behavioural Finance1747 Words   |  7 PagesEfficient Market Hypothesis v’s Behavioural Finance An efficient market is one in which share prices quickly and fully reflect all available information, where investors are rational, and there are no frictions. Investors determine stock prices on the basis of expected cash flows to be received from a stock and the risk involved. Rational investors should use all the information they have available or can reasonably obtain, including both known information and beliefs about the future. In an efficientRead MoreClassical Finance : The Backbone Of The Financial World1414 Words   |  6 Pagesclassical finance has been considered to be the backbone of the financial world. In the 1960s-1970s, many traditional financial theories and concepts were established with the help of asset pricing results found by various famous researchers, such as Merton (1973) and Black and Scholes (1973). However, roughly forty years ago, Behavioural finance came into power and resulted in questioning the mere implications and core assumptions of traditional or classical financial theories such as the Efficient MarketRead MoreThe Overreaction Of Market Behaviour And The Psychology Of Individual Decision Making Has On Stock Prices Essay1506 Words   |  7 PagesIntroduction Werner F. M. De Bondt and Richard Thaler conducted a study to investigate the stock market. This study examined the impact the overreaction of market behaviour and the psychology of individual decision making has on stock prices. The main goal of this study was â€Å"to test whether the overreaction hypothesis is predictive† (pg. 795). They tested two hypotheses (pg. 795): 1. Extreme movements in stock prices will be followed by subsequent price movements in the opposite direction. 2. TheRead MoreEssay on The Efficient Market Hypothesis1845 Words   |  8 Pages1. INTRODUCTION The efficient market, as one of the pillars of neoclassical finance, asserts that financial markets are efficient on information. The efficient market hypothesis suggests that there is no trading system based on currently available information that could be expected to generate excess risk-adjusted returns consistently as this information is already reflected in current prices. However, EMH has been the most controversial subject of research in the fields of financial economics duringRead MoreMarket Efficiency Theory - Essay1458 Words   |  6 Pagesâ€Å"Every event, no matter how remote or long ago, echoes across all other events.† (Mandelbrot, 2004) Modern financial implications perceive every action/reaction on markets as a result/cause of more complex, mutually dependent events. Studies of these relations began with the simplest ‘random walk’ hypothesis stating that price reactions are unforecastable. It was supported by ‘martingale’ stochastic process. Theoretically it is not possible to fully exist, as there would be no place for speculationRead MoreCapital Market Research : How Disclosures Of Particular Information Influences Aggregate Trading Activities Taken By Individuals Participating Within Capital1373 Words   |  6 Pagesknowledge on capital market research which investigates how disclosures of particular information influences aggregate trading activities taken by individuals participating within capital markets (Deegan ,2011). Through this module my understanding in capital market research that looks at the information content of accounting disclosures and capital market research that uses share price data as a benchmark for evaluating accounting disclosures has evolved. In this area of research, markets are deemed efficientRead MoreEmpirical Challenges of the Efficient Market Hypothesis2070 Words   |  9 PagesEmpirical Challenges to the Efficient Market Hypothesis 1. Introduction Random walks observed in stock return series prior to the 1970s puzzled a number of financial theorists and practitioners. In 1970, this puzzle was resolved by Eugene Fama (1970) who argued that the random walks observed in the behaviour of stock return series could be attributed to market efficiency. Market efficient meant that investors could not consistently make risk-adjusted returns by making investment decisionsRead MoreBehavioral Finance And Its Effects On The Behavior Of Financial Practitioners And The Subsequent Effect On Markets2103 Words   |  9 PagesBehavioural Finance Introduction Behavioural finance is a relatively new area of evolving research in finance. Behavioural finance seek to combine behavioural and cognitive psychological theory with conventional economics and finance to get a better understanding for why individual investors make irrational financial decisions. According to Sewell (2007), â€Å"Behavioural finance is the study of the influence of psychology on the behaviour of financial practitioners and the subsequent effect on markets

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.